Dodgers and Brewers Lead MLB Power Ratings, Separated by 0.02 Runs
Los Angeles holds the edge in run-creation components while Milwaukee owns the league's best record. A full breakdown of all 30 teams reveals Detroit as the biggest gap between rating and wins.
Published: · Figures as of August 24, 2026
Asked: Who are the top mlb teams by power rating?
The Dodgers and Brewers lead MLB's power ratings, separated by just 0.02 runs
As of August 24, Power Rating v1 puts the Los Angeles Dodgers (+1.056) and Milwaukee Brewers (+1.036) in a near-dead heat at the top — each expected to beat an average opponent by just over a run on neutral ground. Every team's rating is in the in-season regime, meaning it's built from this season's games rather than carried over from 2025, and all carry full confidence (1.0).
The ratings blend two signals: each team's win-loss record and a margin signal built from the ingredients of run-scoring (hits, walks, home runs for and against), which strips out the sequencing luck that makes raw run differential unreliable in baseball. Where those two signals agree, the rating is firm; where they pull apart, there's something worth noting.
Full league rankings — Power Rating v1 (as of 2026-08-24)
| Rank | Team | Rating | Record | Margin Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | +1.056 | .611 | 2.862 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | +1.036 | .618 | 2.689 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rays | +0.765 | .592 | 1.923 |
| 4 | Chicago Cubs | +0.738 | .573 | 2.062 |
| 5 | New York Yankees | +0.654 | .569 | 1.764 |
| 6 | Boston Red Sox | +0.601 | .546 | 1.842 |
| 7 | Atlanta Braves | +0.581 | .580 | 1.332 |
| 8 | Miami Marlins | +0.472 | .511 | 1.757 |
| 9 | Detroit Tigers | +0.372 | .469 | 1.884 |
| 10 | Chicago White Sox | +0.364 | .523 | 1.174 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Phillies | +0.359 | .557 | 0.724 |
| 12 | Pittsburgh Pirates | +0.330 | .477 | 1.616 |
| 13 | San Diego Padres | +0.321 | .542 | 0.764 |
| 14 | Arizona Diamondbacks | +0.298 | .527 | 0.862 |
| 15 | Cleveland Guardians | +0.177 | .496 | 0.758 |
| 16 | Texas Rangers | +0.148 | .496 | 0.644 |
| 17 | St. Louis Cardinals | +0.147 | .500 | 0.592 |
| 18 | Houston Astros | +0.109 | .496 | 0.486 |
| 19 | Seattle Mariners | +0.091 | .473 | 0.699 |
| 20 | Baltimore Orioles | +0.078 | .481 | 0.553 |
| 21 | Washington Nationals | +0.071 | .462 | 0.763 |
| 22 | Minnesota Twins | +0.054 | .481 | 0.456 |
| 23 | Toronto Blue Jays | +0.048 | .485 | 0.384 |
| 24 | New York Mets | -0.099 | .450 | 0.223 |
| 25 | Cincinnati Reds | -0.161 | .473 | -0.317 |
| 26 | San Francisco Giants | -0.189 | .400 | 0.492 |
| 27 | Kansas City Royals | -0.211 | .439 | -0.089 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Angels | -0.218 | .397 | 0.413 |
| 29 | Colorado Rockies | -0.522 | .385 | -0.657 |
| 30 | Oakland Athletics | -0.560 | .389 | -0.869 |
A few things worth pulling out
The Brewers have the better record; the Dodgers have the better margin signal. Milwaukee's .618 win rate is the league's best, and that's what keeps it within 0.02 of LA's rating. But the Dodgers' margin signal (2.862) is meaningfully higher than Milwaukee's (2.689), reflecting that LA is outscoring opponents at a component level — hits, walks, home runs for and against — even more than the standings suggest. That's a small but real edge the record doesn't show.
Detroit (+0.372, .469) is the biggest divergence between rating and record. The Tigers sit 9th in power rating despite a .469 winning percentage — the largest gap of any team. Their margin signal (1.884) is actually higher than Atlanta's (1.332) and Boston's (1.842), suggesting their run-scoring components have been considerably better than their wins indicate. Whether sequencing luck or some other factor has suppressed their record is worth watching.
Philadelphia (-0.198 below Atlanta in rating, despite a similar record) shows the opposite. The Phillies are 7th in the standings at .557 but only 11th by rating. Their margin signal (0.724) is the weakest of any team in the top half of the standings — they've won games, but the underlying run-creation and prevention process hasn't been as convincing as the record implies.
Oakland (-0.560) is the league's lowest-rated team, with a margin signal (-0.869) that is the only one in the league that significantly negative — meaning their run ingredients are working against them in both directions. Colorado (-0.522, -0.657) is close behind.
One important framing: the edge this rating has over the standings is real and small. It prices games modestly better than win percentage alone — that's what the backtesting established — and it should be read as an informed lean on team strength, not as a precise forecast of any one game.