Dodgers went 10-5 in both 15-game stretches as runs allowed fell
The Dodgers' last 15 games of 2026 matched the 15 before at 10-5, but runs allowed dropped from 3.67 to 2.60 a game while scoring fell from 5.20 to 4.47. Six games against the Giants flatter the stretch.
Published: · Figures as of October 3, 2026
Asked: How did the Dodgers play over their last 15 games compared with the 15 before? What changed most?
Same 10-5 record both times; scoring fell and run prevention improved
Over the final 15 games of the regular season (September 12–27, 2026), the Dodgers went 10-5, the same as the 15 before (August 26–September 11). Runs scored fell from 5.20 to 4.47 a game, and runs allowed fell from 3.67 to 2.60 a game. In total they outscored opponents 67-39 (+28) after going 78-55 (+23) in the earlier stretch.
| Game date | Runs scored (runs) | Runs allowed (runs) |
|---|---|---|
| 8/26 | 5 | 6 |
| 8/27 | 0 | 1 |
| 8/28 | 2 | 1 |
| 8/29 | 1 | 2 |
| 8/30 | 6 | 1 |
| 9/1 | 8 | 13 |
| 9/2 | 6 | 8 |
| 9/3 | 3 | 2 |
| 9/4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9/5 | 6 | 5 |
| 9/6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9/7 | 6 | 3 |
| 9/8 | 3 | 2 |
| 9/9 | 14 | 1 |
| 9/11 | 6 | 2 |
| 9/12 | 3 | 4 |
| 9/13 | 4 | 6 |
| 9/14 | 4 | 1 |
| 9/15 | 4 | 0 |
| 9/16 | 2 | 6 |
| 9/17 | 8 | 2 |
| 9/18 | 8 | 2 |
| 9/19 | 10 | 4 |
| 9/20 | 3 | 1 |
| 9/22 | 7 | 0 |
| 9/23 | 1 | 5 |
| 9/24 | 2 | 4 |
| 9/25 | 2 | 0 |
| 9/26 | 4 | 3 |
| 9/27 | 5 | 1 |
- Last 15 games begin at 9/12
| Window | Record | Scored per game | Allowed per game | Scored vs opponents' usual allowed | Allowed vs opponents' usual scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26–Sep 11 | 10-5 | 5.20 | 3.67 | +0.75 | -0.88 |
| Sep 12–27 | 10-5 | 4.47 | 2.60 | -0.21 | -1.68 |
Run prevention moved most in raw terms. The 1.07-run drop in runs allowed is larger than the 0.73-run drop in runs scored. The 2.60 a game allowed is 1.84 below the league's 4.44 for the window. Scoring, at 4.47, sits at the league's 4.44.
Adjusted for opponents, the two moves are close. Both windows came against softer slates. The adjusted drop in scoring is 0.97 runs, and the adjusted gain in run prevention is 0.81. So the offense slipped about as much as run prevention improved, and the record did not change.
Six games against the Giants flatter the stretch. The Dodgers beat San Francisco 6-0, scoring 32 and allowing 11. In the other nine games they went 4-5 and outscored opponents 35-28. That includes a 0-2 series at Miami and 1-2 against San Diego, when they scored 1 and 2 runs in the two losses.
Within the window, the shape was uneven. The prior stretch included an 8-game win streak (8-13 and 6-8 losses to St. Louis, then 14-1 over Cincinnati). The last stretch closed on three straight wins over the Giants, 11-4 combined. The data shows what moved but not why. Skubal went on the injured list on September 20 and Ohtani came off it on September 23, but the numbers here do not tie either move to the change.