LeBron James's 76ers Rate -0.3, Outside the Top 10, as of Oct. 11
Philadelphia's Power Rating trails ten teams, including Cleveland and Boston in the East, and James is listed as questionable with a foot condition. The case for a fifth title rests on a low-confidence preseason rating that could move once games are played.
Published: · Figures as of October 11, 2026
Asked: How likely is LeBron James to win his 5th NBA Championship?
LeBron's 76ers are a long shot for a fifth title
DataBaller does not price championships, but Philadelphia's Power Rating of -0.3 points a game is outside the top 10 of the 30 rated teams, so a title is unlikely. Oklahoma City leads at 13.2. At least five Eastern Conference teams rate above Philadelphia: Cleveland at 8.7, Boston at 8.1, Detroit at 5.7, Charlotte at 4.8 and Toronto at 4.2.
| Team | Power Rating (points) |
|---|---|
| OKC | 13.2 |
| CLE | 8.7 |
| SAS | 8.2 |
| BOS | 8.1 |
| HOU | 6.5 |
| DET | 5.7 |
| LAL | 4.9 |
| CHA | 4.8 |
| DEN | 4.6 |
| TOR | 4.2 |
| PHI | -0.3 |
The rating is a fresh estimate from the current roster at last season's minutes, and its confidence is low in the offseason. It has LeBron James at 19.9 minutes a game with a margin impact of 1.33 points per 48 minutes, and Joel Embiid at 18.9 minutes and 3.5. The 76ers' lineup is a new mix of James, Jaylen Brown, Tyrese Maxey, VJ Edgecombe and Embiid. Six players in the rotation have negative impact scores, led by Rayan Rupert at -5.4 and Tyrese Martin at -3.8.
Last season's record was a mid-table baseline. Philadelphia went 45-37, but its scoring margin supported 40.6 wins. Its Team Sustainability read is in line, with the record 4.4 wins above the scoring. The team scored 115.9 points and allowed 116.1 per game.
Availability is a second risk. The injury report lists James as questionable with chronic left foot arthritis, first reported October 8. His 2025-26 season with the Lakers covered 60 games, with 14 missed to start the year and 3 more in March. Philadelphia has already discussed managing his workload and back-to-backs.
The 76ers open on October 20 at New York, then host Cleveland on October 22. Those two games are the first look at how the rating holds against the East's top teams.
The honors on record show four Finals MVP seasons for James: 2011-12, 2012-13, 2015-16 and 2019-20.
Confidence: Medium on a low probability. The rating is a preseason estimate that will move once the 76ers play games, and a healthy Embiid and James together, or a Cleveland or Boston slide, would raise it.