No Record of a Mets Manager Firing, But Their Recent Surge Is Real
A viral claim that firing the Mets' manager sparked a turnaround doesn't match the data on file — but the team's hot recent stretch, including a 7-3 run over their last 10 games, checks out on its own.
Published: · Figures as of September 13, 2026
Asked: what are your thoughts about this: I can admit when I was wrong, and I was wrong about the problems with the Mets. Firing Mendoza really did make a big difference.
No record of a Mendoza firing shows up in the Mets' data
I don't have anything on record for the Mets under coaching or front-office news this season — no coaching change, no firing, nothing at all in that category. So before crediting a manager change with anything, the more basic claim doesn't check out here: there's no recorded event to point to.
What is real is the recent uptick in the results themselves. Over their last 10 games the Mets are 7-3, scoring 7.8 runs a game and allowing 5.8 (a +2.0 margin), and 4-1 over their last 5 with a +3.2 margin — a sharp jump from their -0.22 run margin across the full 148-game season (69-79). That's a genuine hot stretch, most recently a 12-2 win over the Yankees on September 12.
But nothing here ties that stretch to a dugout change. It could be a schedule effect (their last 10 opponents carry a .507 average winning percentage, essentially league-average, so it isn't an easy-schedule mirage), a hot streak from a few hitters, or just variance in a lost season — the data doesn't say, and I'm not going to invent a cause I can't measure. If a managerial change did happen and isn't captured in what I have, I can't confirm or deny it from here; what I can say is that on the record I hold, there's no such event, and the recent turnaround stands on its own without one.
| Window | Margin per game (runs) |
|---|---|
| Season (148 g) | -0.22 |
| Last 20 | 0.5 |
| Last 10 | 2.0 |
| Last 5 | 3.2 |
- even: 0 runs
Confidence: High that the recent form is real (it's directly measured); low-to-none on any causal link to a coaching change, since no such change is on record for this team this season.