No Record of a Mets Manager Firing, But Their Recent Surge Is Real

A viral claim that firing the Mets' manager sparked a turnaround doesn't match the data on file — but the team's hot recent stretch, including a 7-3 run over their last 10 games, checks out on its own.

Published: · Figures as of September 13, 2026

Asked: what are your thoughts about this: I can admit when I was wrong, and I was wrong about the problems with the Mets. Firing Mendoza really did make a big difference.

No record of a Mendoza firing shows up in the Mets' data

I don't have anything on record for the Mets under coaching or front-office news this season — no coaching change, no firing, nothing at all in that category. So before crediting a manager change with anything, the more basic claim doesn't check out here: there's no recorded event to point to.

What is real is the recent uptick in the results themselves. Over their last 10 games the Mets are 7-3, scoring 7.8 runs a game and allowing 5.8 (a +2.0 margin), and 4-1 over their last 5 with a +3.2 margin — a sharp jump from their -0.22 run margin across the full 148-game season (69-79). That's a genuine hot stretch, most recently a 12-2 win over the Yankees on September 12.

But nothing here ties that stretch to a dugout change. It could be a schedule effect (their last 10 opponents carry a .507 average winning percentage, essentially league-average, so it isn't an easy-schedule mirage), a hot streak from a few hitters, or just variance in a lost season — the data doesn't say, and I'm not going to invent a cause I can't measure. If a managerial change did happen and isn't captured in what I have, I can't confirm or deny it from here; what I can say is that on the record I hold, there's no such event, and the recent turnaround stands on its own without one.

Mets Run Margin per Game, Trailing Windows — Runs
WindowMargin per game (runs)
Season (148 g)-0.22
Last 200.5
Last 102.0
Last 53.2
  • even: 0 runs

Confidence: High that the recent form is real (it's directly measured); low-to-none on any causal link to a coaching change, since no such change is on record for this team this season.

This analysis was generated by DataBaller from licensed sports data and reflects the data available on the date above. It is not official league data. Provided as-is; data may contain errors.